Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004504 0.004743 0.004989 0.005261 0.005555 0.005862 0.006209
2025-09-28 0.003974 0.004312 0.004674 0.005093 0.005567 0.006088 0.006708
2025-10-05 0.003741 0.004143 0.004586 0.005115 0.005733 0.006438 0.007310
2025-10-12 0.003592 0.004044 0.004554 0.005179 0.005930 0.006813 0.007945
2025-10-19 0.003418 0.003898 0.004452 0.005143 0.005995 0.007023 0.008379
2025-10-26 0.003274 0.003777 0.004366 0.005117 0.006060 0.007226 0.008806
2025-11-02 0.003142 0.003662 0.004279 0.005078 0.006102 0.007394 0.009190
2025-11-09 0.003088 0.003635 0.004296 0.005167 0.006305 0.007775 0.009875
2025-11-16 0.002978 0.003535 0.004216 0.005125 0.006332 0.007922 0.010244
2025-11-23 0.002894 0.003462 0.004165 0.005116 0.006400 0.008122 0.010696
2025-11-30 0.002787 0.003356 0.004067 0.005040 0.006371 0.008184 0.010949
2025-12-07 0.002694 0.003265 0.003983 0.004978 0.006356 0.008263 0.011226
2025-12-14 0.002630 0.003209 0.003945 0.004976 0.006426 0.008468 0.011710
2025-12-21 0.002508 0.003074 0.003799 0.004822 0.006275 0.008344 0.011680
2025-12-28 0.002462 0.003037 0.003781 0.004842 0.006371 0.008585 0.012235
2026-01-04 0.002434 0.003022 0.003791 0.004901 0.006524 0.008919 0.012960
2026-01-11 0.002373 0.002963 0.003738 0.004869 0.006540 0.009042 0.013346
2026-01-18 0.002319 0.002910 0.003692 0.004844 0.006566 0.009180 0.013764
2026-01-25 0.002264 0.002854 0.003641 0.004808 0.006572 0.009287 0.014133
2026-02-01 0.002252 0.002856 0.003670 0.004890 0.006762 0.009696 0.015064
2026-02-08 0.002201 0.002802 0.003618 0.004851 0.006762 0.009793 0.015438
2026-02-15 0.002162 0.002765 0.003588 0.004844 0.006809 0.009970 0.015971
2026-02-22 0.002104 0.002700 0.003518 0.004773 0.006752 0.009970 0.016167